Treasury Sells $25 Billion in 30-Year Bonds at 5.441%, Up 75 Basis Points

Treasury sold $25 billion in 30-year bonds on November 12 at a 5.441% high yield, 74.7 basis points above the same quarterly bond a year ago. Here is what it means.

Treasury sold $25 billion in 30-year bonds on November 12 at a 5.441% high yield, 74.7 basis points above the same quarterly bond a year ago. Here is what it means.

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said core PCE inflation likely rose to 3.3% in October and that progress on lowering inflation has stalled.

Treasury sold $42 billion of 10-year notes on November 10 at a 5.020% high yield with a 5.000% coupon. Bid-to-cover slipped to 2.46 and dealers took 9.8%.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he would support a 25 basis point hike on December 9 and that 50 basis points should be considered if October core CPI runs near 0.3 percent. Prime sits at 7.00 percent.

The Fed's G.19 release shows revolving credit grew at a 14.5 percent annual rate in September to $1,368.5 billion, with prime steady at 7.00 percent before the December vote.

Treasury's borrowing committee minutes show the median primary dealer projecting a $2.14 trillion funding shortfall for fiscal 2028 and 2029 at current auction sizes.

U.S. payrolls rose 165,000 in October and unemployment fell to 4.1 percent, lifting December Fed rate hike odds to roughly 77 percent before the December 9 decision.

The average rate on U.S. interest-bearing federal debt reached 3.580% on October 31, the highest since April 2009, as Treasury bills topped 4% for the first time in a year.

Treasury set its November quarterly refunding at $125 billion and dropped the phrase at least from its coupon auction size guidance, pointing any change at February 3.

Treasury's operating cash balance closed at $930.8 billion on November 2, down $121.8 billion from its October 27 peak, as total public debt fell $91.6 billion.