Treasury 2-Year Note Auction Stops at 4.189%, Highest Since January 2025

The U.S. Treasury sold $69 billion of two-year notes on June 23 at a 4.189% high yield, the highest stop since January 2025, with a 2.64 bid-to-cover and strong demand.

The U.S. Treasury sold $69 billion of two-year notes on June 23 at a 4.189% high yield, the highest stop since January 2025, with a 2.64 bid-to-cover and strong demand.

The two-year Treasury yield rose to its highest since February 2025 on June 22 as markets repriced toward a 2026 Fed rate hike ahead of Thursday's May PCE report.

Who holds the $39 trillion U.S. national debt in 2026? Foreign investors own $9.35T led by Japan, the Fed holds about $4.4T, and federal trust funds hold $7.64T.

The Fed held rates at 3.50 to 3.75 percent on June 17, 2026, but its new dot plot flipped toward a 2026 hike at Kevin Warsh's first meeting. Prime stays 6.75 percent.

Treasury sold $13 billion of 20-year bonds at a 4.927% high yield on June 16, drawing a 2.75 bid-to-cover and 71.2% indirect demand, the strongest 20-year sale since January.

The U.S. debt ceiling caps how much the Treasury can borrow to pay bills Congress already approved. Here is how the $41.1 trillion limit works and when it binds next.

The FOMC is expected to hold rates at 3.50% to 3.75% and the prime rate at 6.75% on June 17, with the new dot plot and a hot May inflation print the real story.

Treasury's $22 billion 30-year auction stopped at 5.02% on June 11, the first back-to-back 5% sales since 2007, days before the June 16-17 Fed meeting.

May CPI rose 0.5% for the month and 4.2% over the year, the first 4% reading since 2023. Core held at 2.9% as the Fed heads into its June 16-17 meeting.

The U.S. prime rate is 6.75%, but the Fed does not set it. Here is how banks derive prime from the federal funds rate and what it means for your loans.