10-Year Treasury Yield Drops 17 Basis Points to 4.96%, Most Since August 2024

The 10-year Treasury yield fell 17 basis points to 4.96% on October 22, its largest one-day drop since August 2024 and its first close below 5% in a month.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell 17 basis points to 4.96% on October 22, its largest one-day drop since August 2024 and its first close below 5% in a month.

The one-year Treasury yield reached 4.50% on October 19, a full 50 basis points above the Fed's 4.00% ceiling, pricing two more hikes before the October 28 FOMC vote.

Treasury auctions $13 billion of the 5-1/8% bond due August 2046 on October 21, with the 20-year yielding 5.53% against 5.48% at 30 years.

China's U.S. Treasury holdings fell to $590.7 billion in August, the lowest since August 2008, while Britain topped $1 trillion and official accounts kept selling.

Federal debt held by the public reached $32.538 trillion on October 15, the first reading above $32.5 trillion on record, after $391 billion of Treasury auctions settled that day.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to signal the October 28 vote during Friday remarks in Bangkok, his last comments before the FOMC communications blackout began October 17.

The Fed's October 14 Beige Book found price growth robust in three of twelve districts and picking up in four, with higher oil prices in every district report.

Federal Reserve Board minutes show Reserve Bank requests for a 4.00% discount rate grew from two banks in August to seven by the September 16 meeting.

The federal government spent $1.360 trillion on interest in fiscal 2026, Treasury's closing accounting shows, up $140.4 billion from fiscal 2025 and a record high.

Treasury bills ended fiscal 2026 at $7.118 trillion, or 22.36% of marketable federal debt, the largest fiscal year end share since 2020. Bills grew $721.1 billion over the year.